Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 8:50 AM, 39 voters in 11 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 90,137 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 55,464 - 168,562). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 8:50 AM 1443 c(2.5% = 1168) c(97.5% = 1906)
02 8:50 AM 2410 c(2.5% = 1954) c(97.5% = 3059)
03 8:50 AM 1120 c(2.5% = 655) c(97.5% = 2159)
04 8:50 AM 1083 c(2.5% = 568) c(97.5% = 2360)
05 8:50 AM 3240 c(2.5% = 2384) c(97.5% = 4232)
06 8:50 AM 769 c(2.5% = 560) c(97.5% = 1405)
07 8:50 AM 481 c(2.5% = 86) c(97.5% = 2971)
08 8:50 AM 3277 c(2.5% = 2543) c(97.5% = 4311)
09 8:50 AM 1716 c(2.5% = 1415) c(97.5% = 2338)
10 8:50 AM 1665 c(2.5% = 1053) c(97.5% = 2998)
11 8:50 AM 681 c(2.5% = 355) c(97.5% = 1568)
12 8:50 AM 1212 c(2.5% = 704) c(97.5% = 2420)
13 8:50 AM 1081 c(2.5% = 610) c(97.5% = 2269)
14 8:50 AM 500 c(2.5% = 343) c(97.5% = 854)
15 8:50 AM 1780 c(2.5% = 1448) c(97.5% = 2411)
16 8:50 AM 549 c(2.5% = 247) c(97.5% = 1428)
17 8:50 AM 1351 c(2.5% = 773) c(97.5% = 2708)
18 8:50 AM 1268 c(2.5% = 812) c(97.5% = 1781)
19 8:50 AM 424 c(2.5% = 114) c(97.5% = 1833)
20 8:50 AM 462 c(2.5% = 226) c(97.5% = 1395)
21 8:50 AM 3540 c(2.5% = 2073) c(97.5% = 5326)
22 8:50 AM 2062 c(2.5% = 1821) c(97.5% = 2831)
23 8:50 AM 967 c(2.5% = 415) c(97.5% = 2276)
24 8:50 AM 814 c(2.5% = 442) c(97.5% = 1700)
25 8:50 AM 816 c(2.5% = 302) c(97.5% = 2007)
26 8:50 AM 1326 c(2.5% = 784) c(97.5% = 2016)
27 8:50 AM 1311 c(2.5% = 682) c(97.5% = 2821)
28 8:50 AM 586 c(2.5% = 270) c(97.5% = 1505)
29 8:50 AM 665 c(2.5% = 434) c(97.5% = 1191)
30 8:50 AM 1478 c(2.5% = 1310) c(97.5% = 1817)
31 8:50 AM 1230 c(2.5% = 819) c(97.5% = 1571)
32 8:50 AM 943 c(2.5% = 431) c(97.5% = 2453)
33 8:50 AM 622 c(2.5% = 128) c(97.5% = 2918)
34 8:50 AM 2412 c(2.5% = 1559) c(97.5% = 4178)
35 8:50 AM 1407 c(2.5% = 584) c(97.5% = 3484)
36 8:50 AM 1929 c(2.5% = 1310) c(97.5% = 3266)
37 8:50 AM 602 c(2.5% = 254) c(97.5% = 1696)
38 8:50 AM 1255 c(2.5% = 895) c(97.5% = 2091)
39 8:50 AM 2833 c(2.5% = 1651) c(97.5% = 4103)
40 8:50 AM 2240 c(2.5% = 1205) c(97.5% = 4771)
41 8:50 AM 931 c(2.5% = 303) c(97.5% = 2302)
42 8:50 AM 977 c(2.5% = 345) c(97.5% = 3061)
43 8:50 AM 721 c(2.5% = 229) c(97.5% = 2776)
44 8:50 AM 729 c(2.5% = 378) c(97.5% = 1586)
45 8:50 AM 1066 c(2.5% = 454) c(97.5% = 2465)
46 8:50 AM 1652 c(2.5% = 1452) c(97.5% = 2274)
47 8:50 AM 405 c(2.5% = 215) c(97.5% = 942)
48 8:50 AM 1027 c(2.5% = 551) c(97.5% = 2085)
49 8:50 AM 1281 c(2.5% = 695) c(97.5% = 2822)
50 8:50 AM 2141 c(2.5% = 1637) c(97.5% = 3137)
51 8:50 AM 1189 c(2.5% = 692) c(97.5% = 2485)
52 8:50 AM 1687 c(2.5% = 1166) c(97.5% = 2614)
53 8:50 AM 1001 c(2.5% = 366) c(97.5% = 2476)
54 8:50 AM 674 c(2.5% = 180) c(97.5% = 2102)
55 8:50 AM 1252 c(2.5% = 416) c(97.5% = 2971)
56 8:50 AM 1927 c(2.5% = 777) c(97.5% = 3857)
57 8:50 AM 1632 c(2.5% = 747) c(97.5% = 3088)
58 8:50 AM 2734 c(2.5% = 1245) c(97.5% = 5416)
59 8:50 AM 1336 c(2.5% = 833) c(97.5% = 2461)
60 8:50 AM 1071 c(2.5% = 640) c(97.5% = 1997)
61 8:50 AM 1466 c(2.5% = 808) c(97.5% = 3210)
62 8:50 AM 1049 c(2.5% = 321) c(97.5% = 2959)
63 8:50 AM 1689 c(2.5% = 957) c(97.5% = 2840)
64 8:50 AM 872 c(2.5% = 335) c(97.5% = 1891)
65 8:50 AM 1344 c(2.5% = 676) c(97.5% = 2468)
66 8:50 AM 2730 c(2.5% = 1314) c(97.5% = 5113)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions