Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 8:50 AM, 39 voters in 11 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 90,137 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 55,464 - 168,562). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 8:50 AM | 1443 |
c(2.5% = 1168)
|
c(97.5% = 1906)
|
| 02 | 8:50 AM | 2410 |
c(2.5% = 1954)
|
c(97.5% = 3059)
|
| 03 | 8:50 AM | 1120 |
c(2.5% = 655)
|
c(97.5% = 2159)
|
| 04 | 8:50 AM | 1083 |
c(2.5% = 568)
|
c(97.5% = 2360)
|
| 05 | 8:50 AM | 3240 |
c(2.5% = 2384)
|
c(97.5% = 4232)
|
| 06 | 8:50 AM | 769 |
c(2.5% = 560)
|
c(97.5% = 1405)
|
| 07 | 8:50 AM | 481 |
c(2.5% = 86)
|
c(97.5% = 2971)
|
| 08 | 8:50 AM | 3277 |
c(2.5% = 2543)
|
c(97.5% = 4311)
|
| 09 | 8:50 AM | 1716 |
c(2.5% = 1415)
|
c(97.5% = 2338)
|
| 10 | 8:50 AM | 1665 |
c(2.5% = 1053)
|
c(97.5% = 2998)
|
| 11 | 8:50 AM | 681 |
c(2.5% = 355)
|
c(97.5% = 1568)
|
| 12 | 8:50 AM | 1212 |
c(2.5% = 704)
|
c(97.5% = 2420)
|
| 13 | 8:50 AM | 1081 |
c(2.5% = 610)
|
c(97.5% = 2269)
|
| 14 | 8:50 AM | 500 |
c(2.5% = 343)
|
c(97.5% = 854)
|
| 15 | 8:50 AM | 1780 |
c(2.5% = 1448)
|
c(97.5% = 2411)
|
| 16 | 8:50 AM | 549 |
c(2.5% = 247)
|
c(97.5% = 1428)
|
| 17 | 8:50 AM | 1351 |
c(2.5% = 773)
|
c(97.5% = 2708)
|
| 18 | 8:50 AM | 1268 |
c(2.5% = 812)
|
c(97.5% = 1781)
|
| 19 | 8:50 AM | 424 |
c(2.5% = 114)
|
c(97.5% = 1833)
|
| 20 | 8:50 AM | 462 |
c(2.5% = 226)
|
c(97.5% = 1395)
|
| 21 | 8:50 AM | 3540 |
c(2.5% = 2073)
|
c(97.5% = 5326)
|
| 22 | 8:50 AM | 2062 |
c(2.5% = 1821)
|
c(97.5% = 2831)
|
| 23 | 8:50 AM | 967 |
c(2.5% = 415)
|
c(97.5% = 2276)
|
| 24 | 8:50 AM | 814 |
c(2.5% = 442)
|
c(97.5% = 1700)
|
| 25 | 8:50 AM | 816 |
c(2.5% = 302)
|
c(97.5% = 2007)
|
| 26 | 8:50 AM | 1326 |
c(2.5% = 784)
|
c(97.5% = 2016)
|
| 27 | 8:50 AM | 1311 |
c(2.5% = 682)
|
c(97.5% = 2821)
|
| 28 | 8:50 AM | 586 |
c(2.5% = 270)
|
c(97.5% = 1505)
|
| 29 | 8:50 AM | 665 |
c(2.5% = 434)
|
c(97.5% = 1191)
|
| 30 | 8:50 AM | 1478 |
c(2.5% = 1310)
|
c(97.5% = 1817)
|
| 31 | 8:50 AM | 1230 |
c(2.5% = 819)
|
c(97.5% = 1571)
|
| 32 | 8:50 AM | 943 |
c(2.5% = 431)
|
c(97.5% = 2453)
|
| 33 | 8:50 AM | 622 |
c(2.5% = 128)
|
c(97.5% = 2918)
|
| 34 | 8:50 AM | 2412 |
c(2.5% = 1559)
|
c(97.5% = 4178)
|
| 35 | 8:50 AM | 1407 |
c(2.5% = 584)
|
c(97.5% = 3484)
|
| 36 | 8:50 AM | 1929 |
c(2.5% = 1310)
|
c(97.5% = 3266)
|
| 37 | 8:50 AM | 602 |
c(2.5% = 254)
|
c(97.5% = 1696)
|
| 38 | 8:50 AM | 1255 |
c(2.5% = 895)
|
c(97.5% = 2091)
|
| 39 | 8:50 AM | 2833 |
c(2.5% = 1651)
|
c(97.5% = 4103)
|
| 40 | 8:50 AM | 2240 |
c(2.5% = 1205)
|
c(97.5% = 4771)
|
| 41 | 8:50 AM | 931 |
c(2.5% = 303)
|
c(97.5% = 2302)
|
| 42 | 8:50 AM | 977 |
c(2.5% = 345)
|
c(97.5% = 3061)
|
| 43 | 8:50 AM | 721 |
c(2.5% = 229)
|
c(97.5% = 2776)
|
| 44 | 8:50 AM | 729 |
c(2.5% = 378)
|
c(97.5% = 1586)
|
| 45 | 8:50 AM | 1066 |
c(2.5% = 454)
|
c(97.5% = 2465)
|
| 46 | 8:50 AM | 1652 |
c(2.5% = 1452)
|
c(97.5% = 2274)
|
| 47 | 8:50 AM | 405 |
c(2.5% = 215)
|
c(97.5% = 942)
|
| 48 | 8:50 AM | 1027 |
c(2.5% = 551)
|
c(97.5% = 2085)
|
| 49 | 8:50 AM | 1281 |
c(2.5% = 695)
|
c(97.5% = 2822)
|
| 50 | 8:50 AM | 2141 |
c(2.5% = 1637)
|
c(97.5% = 3137)
|
| 51 | 8:50 AM | 1189 |
c(2.5% = 692)
|
c(97.5% = 2485)
|
| 52 | 8:50 AM | 1687 |
c(2.5% = 1166)
|
c(97.5% = 2614)
|
| 53 | 8:50 AM | 1001 |
c(2.5% = 366)
|
c(97.5% = 2476)
|
| 54 | 8:50 AM | 674 |
c(2.5% = 180)
|
c(97.5% = 2102)
|
| 55 | 8:50 AM | 1252 |
c(2.5% = 416)
|
c(97.5% = 2971)
|
| 56 | 8:50 AM | 1927 |
c(2.5% = 777)
|
c(97.5% = 3857)
|
| 57 | 8:50 AM | 1632 |
c(2.5% = 747)
|
c(97.5% = 3088)
|
| 58 | 8:50 AM | 2734 |
c(2.5% = 1245)
|
c(97.5% = 5416)
|
| 59 | 8:50 AM | 1336 |
c(2.5% = 833)
|
c(97.5% = 2461)
|
| 60 | 8:50 AM | 1071 |
c(2.5% = 640)
|
c(97.5% = 1997)
|
| 61 | 8:50 AM | 1466 |
c(2.5% = 808)
|
c(97.5% = 3210)
|
| 62 | 8:50 AM | 1049 |
c(2.5% = 321)
|
c(97.5% = 2959)
|
| 63 | 8:50 AM | 1689 |
c(2.5% = 957)
|
c(97.5% = 2840)
|
| 64 | 8:50 AM | 872 |
c(2.5% = 335)
|
c(97.5% = 1891)
|
| 65 | 8:50 AM | 1344 |
c(2.5% = 676)
|
c(97.5% = 2468)
|
| 66 | 8:50 AM | 2730 |
c(2.5% = 1314)
|
c(97.5% = 5113)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions